I tend to agree. I had a a dear friend from Libya who taught me early on that the west has no idea of how to deal with the Middle East. In short, he would say we are still tribal. If another tribe hits you then you must hit back 4x has hard to make your point. He said, that is how the tribe gains respect.
Trump has the animal instinct. The fact that djt provided a take it or leave approach with Hamas where a rejection of the proposal would provide the green light to destroy Hamas, seems to fit the thinking my friend and I discussed.
To Hamas, Trump is a proven tribal warrior and they understood it was not a bluff. That is why I believe Hamas agreed…this time.
But I think you are ignoring one of the most important things about Trump. He doesn’t care about the future (except his own bottom line). He only cares about the optics of the present. So if the F35 tech is sold to Russia, doesn’t bother Trump. If more US journalists are tortured and killed by MBS, doesn’t bother Trump. If Iran accelerates their nuclear program to avoid getting bombed again, doesn’t bother Trump. If international troops are killed in Gaza and the ceasefire dissolves into renewed atrocities, doesn’t bother Trump. It is much easier to force a deal (or use military force) when you waive away potential risks.
This explanation gives way too much credit to Trump. It’s more plausible trump and Netanyahu worked out a deal during his campaign to withhold any ceasefire deal during Biden’s term so he could claim an easy victory if he won. The Logan act has never meant shit to Republicans.
I tend to agree. I had a a dear friend from Libya who taught me early on that the west has no idea of how to deal with the Middle East. In short, he would say we are still tribal. If another tribe hits you then you must hit back 4x has hard to make your point. He said, that is how the tribe gains respect.
Trump has the animal instinct. The fact that djt provided a take it or leave approach with Hamas where a rejection of the proposal would provide the green light to destroy Hamas, seems to fit the thinking my friend and I discussed.
To Hamas, Trump is a proven tribal warrior and they understood it was not a bluff. That is why I believe Hamas agreed…this time.
Lots of important things here.
But I think you are ignoring one of the most important things about Trump. He doesn’t care about the future (except his own bottom line). He only cares about the optics of the present. So if the F35 tech is sold to Russia, doesn’t bother Trump. If more US journalists are tortured and killed by MBS, doesn’t bother Trump. If Iran accelerates their nuclear program to avoid getting bombed again, doesn’t bother Trump. If international troops are killed in Gaza and the ceasefire dissolves into renewed atrocities, doesn’t bother Trump. It is much easier to force a deal (or use military force) when you waive away potential risks.
This explanation gives way too much credit to Trump. It’s more plausible trump and Netanyahu worked out a deal during his campaign to withhold any ceasefire deal during Biden’s term so he could claim an easy victory if he won. The Logan act has never meant shit to Republicans.